Student Loan Rates Shouldn't be Allowed to Rise | VSAC newsline

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By Don Vickers

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Recently, I joined U.S. Rep. Peter Welch of Vermont in urging Congress to halt a planned hike in the interest rate on subsidized Stafford loans (federal education loans that go to students with the greatest financial need). Unless Congress acts, the rate will rise from 3.4 to 6.8 percent on July 1.

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Congress? decision will have huge implications for students throughout the country. If the rate is allowed to increase, a college education is going to become even more out of reach for students who need our help the most.

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Take the case of a student who borrows $23,000 for college, the maximum available to undergrads using subsidized loans, and repays the loans during the customary 10 years:

  • At 3.4 percent, the borrower would repay the principal plus $4,149 in interest, for a total of $27,149.
  • At 6.8 percent, the borrower would repay the principal plus $8,746 in interest, more than twice the amount accruing at 3.4 percent, for a total of $31,746.

If the student extends his or her repayment period ? for example, because of unemployment or underemployment ? the interest mounts. Under a 20-year repayment plan, a 3.4 percent rate translates to $8,650 in interest and a 6.8 percent rate costs $19,021 in interest ? almost as much as the original amount borrowed.

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Apart from the subsidized loan discussion, but no less important, are interest rate challenges facing other federal loan customers:

  • Undergrads with unsubsidized Stafford loans already pay 6.8 percent in interest. These ?unsub? loans, in which interest accrues from the day the loan is made, are used by undergrads who do not qualify for a subsidy while attending school or who need more than they can receive in the subsidized program.
  • Grad students with Stafford loans also pay 6.8 percent.
  • Parents and grad students with PLUS loans, another type of federal loan available to supplement Stafford borrowing, pay from 7.9 to 8.5 percent in interest.

At his news conference, Rep. Welch was joined by several student and parent borrowers who, like VSAC, share his view that reasonable interest rates are vital to keeping higher education affordable. The same week, VSAC talked by phone with a father who was struggling to manage the federal PLUS loans he and his wife had taken out to help pay for two sons? college educations.

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It wasn?t so much the face value of the loans that had him concerned, but the interest rate. Given the high PLUS rate, the loans were costing the family $1,400 a month. Because no rate relief is in sight for this type of federal loan, the parent chose to pay off his PLUS loans by refinancing his home at about 3 percent interest. It frustrated him that he had to do this, but now the debt will cost him about a third of what he had been spending.

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Ironically, the federal education loan programs were developed to provide students with access to low-cost financing and to enable parents to pay for their children?s education without putting their own homes and livelihoods at risk. The original goal was to provide rates and benefits that the private sector couldn?t match due to higher borrowing costs and underwriting restrictions.

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So it is with sadness that we at VSAC hear from borrowers who feel forced to give up their federal loans for riskier forms of debt, or, in the worst case, to forego education altogether. Despite recent questions about the value of higher education, the depressed job market, the proper role for government in funding education, and whether students are borrowing responsibly, two things remain true.

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Education beyond high school ? not always a four-year degree, but some type of education or training ? is still the best ticket out of poverty and toward a life of greater opportunity. And financial aid, whether in the form of grants, scholarships, or loans, will still be needed to help families make this important investment in the future. While we continue to debate the value of education and what more we can do to foster responsible borrowing, the federal government should not saddle students with unreasonable and unfair finance charges.

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Fed should keep easy policy to boost economy: Evans (Reuters)

LAKE FOREST, Illinois (Reuters) ? The Federal Reserve should stick to its super-easy monetary policy to fight unemployment and spur a “painstakingly slow” economic recovery, even if doing so pushes inflation temporarily higher, a top Fed official said on Wednesday.

“There is a natural tendency for policymakers to pull back on accommodation too early before the real rate of interest has fallen to low enough levels,” Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said in an address to a business group. “It is essential that the Fed clearly commit to a policy action that is measurable against our goals.”

Jeffrey Lacker, president of the Richmond Fed and an inflation hawk, also touted the benefits of clear communications in an interview with CNBC.

However, unlike Evans, he said it would not be appropriate for the Fed to set a numerical target for unemployment.

Evans wants the central bank to keep interest rates near zero until either unemployment falls below 7 percent or inflation rises above 3 percent. He said that a prolonged period of low rates will likely help the economy and is unlikely to result in higher-than-normal inflation.

Unemployment registered 8.5 percent in December. Despite a recent improvement in economic growth, Evans said, inflation will probably fall to 1.8 percent this year and to near 1.5 percent in 2013 and 2014, below the 2 percent level the Fed views as healthy.

Lacker said he was not too worried that inflation would exceed the Fed’s comfort range this year.

Meanwhile, the risk that Europe’s debt crisis could disrupt the U.S. financial system is looming larger, Evans said.

“Three percent inflation is a risk that we should be willing to take” given the dire consequences of doing too little to help the economy, Evans said.

Lacker singled out money market funds as being particularly susceptible to financial market shocks.

“The major vulnerability of our financial system to Europe has to do with money market funds. We haven’t fixed the structural problems there and until we do they’re vulnerable to flights,” Lacker said.

The Fed has kept interest rates near zero for more than three years and has signaled it will keep them there until at least mid-2013. This month it will start publishing short-term interest-rate forecasts, a move that is likely to push expectations for a rate hike even further into the future.

Both Evans and Lacker said they strongly supported the Fed’s decision to publicize rate forecasts. Evans said the move will help the economy by reducing uncertainty.

“Households and businesses will be able to make better-informed decisions if they have a clearer notion of future policy rates,” Evans said. “The potential for reduced uncertainty could also lower the risk premium embedded in longer-term interest rates.”

The Fed’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee, which next meets January 24-25, is also working on a clear framework for making decisions on monetary policy, Evans said.

Fed officials are at odds on what the economy needs, with some like Evans calling for easier monetary policy and others, including Lacker, warning that more stimulus would be ineffective at best and at worst spark inflation.

(Writing by Ann Saphir and Pedro da Costa; Editing by Andrea Ricci)

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/business/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20120111/bs_nm/us_usa_fed_evans

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Retail sales weaken in Dec. but cap a record year

FILE – In this Dec. 13, 2011 file photo, Brad Cheskes of Chicago, shops at the Macy’s on State Street store in Chicago. Retail sales barely rose in December, but the gain was enough to push sales to a record level for 2011. It was the largest annual increase in more than a decade. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast, File)

FILE – In this Dec. 13, 2011 file photo, Brad Cheskes of Chicago, shops at the Macy’s on State Street store in Chicago. Retail sales barely rose in December, but the gain was enough to push sales to a record level for 2011. It was the largest annual increase in more than a decade. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast, File)

Verizon Wireless recruiters interview job candidates for sales, retail and management positions at a HireLive career fair in Los Angeles Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2012. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)

FILE – In this Dec. 2, 2011 file photo, people wait in line to enter a job fair, in, Portland, Ore. More people sought unemployment benefits last week as companies let go of thousands of workers hired for the holiday season. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer, File)

In this Jan. 10, 2012 photo, Aramark service managers, Randy Nelson, (left) and Brittany Howard (center) interview job seekers at the HireLive career fair in Los Angeles. More people sought unemployment benefits last week as companies let go of thousands of workers hired for the holiday season. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)

(AP) ? America’s retailers enjoyed a record 2011 and their first $400 billion sales months ever. But the final month of the year was a dud.

Sales eked out a 0.1 percent increase in December, lifting sales to a seasonally adjusted $400.6 billion.

It was the second straight month that sales have topped $400 billion. The government revised November sales to show a 0.4 percent gain, twice the original estimate.

December’s increase, though, was the weakest in seven months. Excluding volatile auto purchases, overall sales actually fell 0.2 percent. It was the first such drop since May 2010.

But analysts said they still expect consumers to help the economy strengthen further, especially because businesses have stepped up hiring. More jobs mean more people with money to spend.

“Although consumer spending is not particularly robust, households do continue to spend and provide moderate support for the overall economy,” said Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics.

For all of 2011, sales totaled a record $4.7 trillion. That was a gain of nearly 8 percent over 2010 ? the largest percentage increase since 1999.

Steady sales gains have fueled a 20 percent surge from the low during the Great Recession. Monthly sales are even 6 percent above their pre-recession high. The figures confirm evidence that the economy was strengthening as 2011 ended.

Part of the reason for December’s weak showing was lower gasoline prices. Those prices reduced sales at gasoline stations by 1.6 percent. Excluding gas stations, overall retail sales would have risen 0.3 percent in December.

Another factor was heavy discounting during the holiday shopping season. Many retailers said they had to offer cut prices in December to attract shoppers.

The sluggish retail-sales data followed a report this week that consumers raised their borrowing in November by the most in a decade. That suggested that many might have charged more spending to their credit cards because their pay has all but stagnated. The savings rate has also declined.

Continued job growth may be needed to sustain spending increases.

In the meantime, Thursday’s news “reminds us that the economy is still struggling,” said Michelle Meyer, an economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “This is the recovery of fits and starts.”

Separately, more people applied for unemployment benefits last week, the government said. Applications rose 24,000 to a seasonally adjusted 399,000. But the gain was largely due to companies letting go of workers after the holiday season.

Economists downplayed the increase. It followed three months of declines that had reduced the number of unemployment applications to their lowest level in more than three years.

And businesses increased their stockpiles in November to meet rising consumer demand. That gain likely boosted economic growth in the final months of 2011. Companies are rebuilding stockpiles after cutting them last summer amid fears of another recession. It means many anticipate higher consumer spending.

The government’s retail sales report showed that holiday discounts helped push department store sales down 0.2 percent in December. A category that includes department stores like Macy’s and big chains such as Wal-Mart showed an even larger drop last month: 0.8 percent.

Compared with the same time last year, retail sales have risen 6.4 percent.

An earlier survey of 25 major retail chains by the International Council of Shopping Centers found that revenue in December at stores open at least a year rose 3.5 percent over the same month a year ago.

That survey’s figures aren’t adjusted for seasonal changes; the government’s sales figures are. The government report is also a broader gauge. It covers purchases at all retailers, not just at major national chains. It also includes auto dealerships, restaurants and bars, grocery stores and gasoline stations.

The strength last month was led by a 1.5 percent jump in auto sales. Furniture store sales rose 1 percent. Hardware stores reported a 1.6 percent increase. But sales at electronics and appliance stores sank nearly 4 percent.

The government’s retail sales report is its first look each month at consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70 percent of economic activity. A healthy report typically signals a stronger economy.

Compared with the same time last year, retail sales have risen 6.4 percent.

This week, the Federal Reserve issued a report saying the final six weeks of 2011 were among the economy’s best last year. The report pointed to higher holiday and auto sales, along with increased travel.

U.S. automakers have said that November and December were their two best sales months in 2011. Their U.S. sales rose 10 percent to 12.8 million in 2011, a 23 percent jump from the recession year of 2009.

The job market has brightened, too. Employers added 200,000 jobs in December. And the unemployment rate fell to 8.5 percent, the lowest in nearly three years.

Because the government’s retail sales report is seasonally adjusted, the current month can be compared with the previous month. But the figures aren’t adjusted for inflation.

A separate government report each month measures consumer spending. It’s an even more inclusive gauge. It covers all spending at retailers ? for both durable goods like cars that are expected to last for years and nondurable goods such as food.

This report also covers spending on services. Services include items such as doctor’s visits, airline tickets, apartment rentals and utility bills. The service category makes up two-thirds of consumer spending and isn’t covered in the retail surveys.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/3d281c11a96b4ad082fe88aa0db04305/Article_2012-01-12-Economy/id-53a83ed2f6684954aacdcb8bbea45e33

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US wealth gap between young and old is widest ever

(AP) ? The wealth gap between younger and older Americans has stretched to the widest on record, worsened by a prolonged economic downturn that has wiped out job opportunities for young adults and saddled them with housing and college debt.

The typical U.S. household headed by a person age 65 or older has a net worth 47 times greater than a household headed by someone under 35, according to an analysis of census data released Monday.

While people typically accumulate assets as they age, this wealth gap is now more than double what it was in 2005 and nearly five times the 10-to-1 disparity a quarter-century ago, after adjusting for inflation.

The analysis reflects the impact of the economic downturn, which has hit young adults particularly hard. More are pursuing college or advanced degrees, taking on debt as they wait for the job market to recover. Others are struggling to pay mortgage costs on homes now worth less than when they were bought in the housing boom.

The report, coming out before the Nov. 23 deadline for a special congressional committee to propose $1.2 trillion in budget cuts over 10 years, casts a spotlight on a government safety net that has buoyed older Americans on Social Security and Medicare amid wider cuts to education and other programs, including cash assistance for poor families.

“It makes us wonder whether the extraordinary amount of resources we spend on retirees and their health care should be at least partially reallocated to those who are hurting worse than them,” said Harry Holzer, a labor economist and public policy professor at Georgetown University who called the magnitude of the wealth gap “striking.”

The median net worth of households headed by someone 65 or older was $170,494. That is 42 percent more than in 1984, when the Census Bureau first began measuring wealth broken down by age. The median net worth for the younger-age households was $3,662, down by 68 percent from a quarter-century ago, according to the analysis by the Pew Research Center.

Net worth includes the value of a person’s home, possessions and savings accumulated over the years, including stocks, bank accounts, real estate, cars, boats or other property, minus any debt such as mortgages, college loans and credit card bills. Older Americans tend to hold more net worth because they are more likely to have paid off their mortgages and built up more savings from salary, stocks and other investments over time. The median is the midpoint, and thus refers to a typical household.

The 47-to-1 wealth gap between old and young is believed by demographers to be the highest ever, even predating government records.

In all, 37 percent of younger-age households have a net worth of zero or less, nearly double the share in 1984. But among households headed by a person 65 or older, the percentage in that category has been largely unchanged at 8 percent.

While the wealth gap has been widening gradually due to delayed marriage and increases in single parenting among young adults, the housing bust and recession have made it significantly worse.

For young adults, the main asset is their home. Their housing wealth dropped 31 percent from 1984, the result of increased debt and falling home values. In contrast, Americans 65 or older were more likely to have bought homes long before the housing boom and thus saw a 57 percent gain in housing wealth even after the bust.

Older Americans are staying in jobs longer, while young adults now face the highest unemployment since World War II. As a result, the median income of older-age households since 1967 has grown at four times the rate of those headed by the under-35 age group.

Social Security benefits account for 55 percent of the annual income for older-age households, unchanged since 1984. The retirement benefits, which are indexed for inflation, have been a consistent source of income even as safety-net benefits for other groups such as low-income students have failed to keep up with rising costs or begun to fray. The congressional supercommittee that is proposing budget cuts has been reviewing whether to trim college aid programs, such as by restricting eligibility or charging students interest on loans while they are still in school.

Sheldon Danziger, a University of Michigan public policy professor who specializes in poverty, noted skyrocketing college tuition costs, which come as many strapped state governments cut support for public universities. Federal spending on Pell Grants to low-income students has risen somewhat, but covers a diminishing share of the actual cost of attending college.

“The elderly have a comprehensive safety net that most adults, especially young adults, lack,” Danziger said.

Paul Taylor, director of Pew Social & Demographic Trends and co-author of the analysis, said the report shows that today’s young adults are starting out in life in a very tough economic position. “If this pattern continues, it will call into question one of the most basic tenets of the American Dream ? the idea that each generation does better than the one that came before,” he said.

Other findings:

?Households headed by someone under age 35 had their median net worth reduced by 27 percent in 2009 as a result of unsecured liabilities, mostly a combination of credit card debt and student loans. No other age group had anywhere near that level of unsecured liability acting as a drag on net worth; the next closest was the 35-44 age group, at 10 percent.

?Wealth inequality is increasing within all age groups. Among the younger-age households, those living in debt have grown the fastest while the share of households with net worth of at least $250,000 edged up slightly to 2 percent. Among the older-age households, the share of households worth at least $250,000 rose to 20 percent from 8 percent in 1984; those living in debt were largely unchanged at 8 percent.

On Monday, the Census Bureau planned to release new 2010 figures that will show a big increase in poverty for Americans 65 or older due to rising out-of-pocket medical expenses. Currently, about 9 percent of older Americans fall below the poverty line, based on the official definition put out in September, but that number did not factor in everyday costs such as health care and commuting.

The new supplemental figures will show poverty to be higher than previously known for several groups, although they may not fully reflect longer-term changes. For instance, a recent working paper by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that U.S. spending on the safety net from 1984 to 2004 shifted notably toward programs benefiting the near-poor rather than the extreme poor and to the elderly rather than younger adults. That trend, which has continued since 2004, has led to faster increases in poverty over time for some of the underserved groups.

Robert Moffitt, a professor of economics at Johns Hopkins University and co-author the paper, cited a series of cuts in government programs since 1984 for the neediest, including welfare payments to single parents and the unemployed under the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program, while Social Security and Medicare have either been expanded or remained constant.

“Over time, even under a revised poverty measure, the elderly have done better,” he said.

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Online:

Census Bureau: www.census.gov

Pew: http://pewsocialtrends.org

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/386c25518f464186bf7a2ac026580ce7/Article_2011-11-07-US-Wealth-Gap-Young-and-Old/id-155f9f09cc9b451c9b6368f4f6729ff1

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Factory output rises on truck, airplane demand (AP)

WASHINGTON ? U.S. factories produced more goods in September for a third straight month, the latest signal that the economy is rebounding from its summer slump.

They made more airplanes, trucks and home electronics last month to meet rising demand, the Federal Reserve said Monday.

The 0.4 percent increase in factory output followed other promising signs in September. Hiring increased slightly, and retail sales grew by the most in seven months.

Economists say the brighter data suggest the July-September quarter is shaping up to be better than first thought. While few are predicting the kind of steady growth needed to significantly lower the unemployment rate, many are less convinced that the economy is on the verge of another recession.

“After taking such an amazing punch to the gut in August, the U.S. economy across the board seems to have rebounded well in September,” said Ellen Zentner, an economist with Nomura Securities Inc.

Overall industrial production edged up 0.2 percent last month after being unchanged in August. Utility output decreased sharply, while mines continued to produce more.

Auto output increased for a third straight month, home electronics production for a fifth.

Zentner said Monday’s report supports her forecast that economy grew at an annual rate of 2.7 percent in the third quarter. That’s well above the 0.9 percent growth in the first half of the year, the weakest since the recession officially ended more than two years ago.

Investors appeared to be more concerned about Europe after the German government played down hopes that a solution to the debt crisis was imminent. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 247 points for the day. Broader indexes also declined.

The European debt crisis still threatens the U.S. economy. But Zentner said the U.S. economy is showing “amazing resilience in the face of that uncertainty.”

U.S. industrial production has increased 12.8 percent since June 2009. It remains 5.8 percent below its recent peak, reached in September 2007.

A key reason for the factory growth is that businesses are investing more in equipment. Production of business equipment rose 1 percent in September, the third straight increase of 1 percent or more.

Strong demand for business equipment matched other reports that showed companies are sticking with their investment plans, despite slow growth and weak consumer spending. In August, businesses ordered more machinery, computers and communication equipment and shipments of those products also increased, the government said last month.

A separate regional survey from the Fed Monday showed that manufacturing in the northeast region continued to contract. But many economists played down the overall decrease, largely because measures of new orders, shipments and hiring all turned from negative to positive in the October survey.

Manufacturing played a crucial role in the early stages of the recovery. Factories were among the first businesses to start growing after the recession officially ended in June 2009.

However, manufacturing slowed this spring. Consumers cut back on purchases in the face of higher prices for gas and food. And the March earthquake in Japan disrupted supply chains, which slowed U.S. auto production.

Manufacturers cut 13,000 jobs in September and 4,000 in August, according to government data. The average length of a factory worker’s week declined as well.

High unemployment threatens President Barack Obama’s re-election prospects nearly a year before the 2012 election. On Monday, he pressed Congress to pass pieces of his $447 billion jobs bill, at the start of a three-day bus tour through key electoral states.

Senate Republicans this month blocked the broader legislation. It included an extension of a Social Security tax cut, which put an extra $1,000 to $2,000 in Americans pockets this year. The tax cut expires at the end of this year.

Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist for Capital Economics, said the expiration of the tax cut is a key reason growth could slow again in 2012.

Capital Economics expects 2.5 percent growth in the third quarter and 2.0 percent growth in the final three months of this year. But it is predicting just 1.5 percent growth for all of 2012. That’s not enough to lower the unemployment rate, which was 9.1 percent last month.

“The third quarter turned out to be a lot better than some feared and the economy has a little momentum going into the fourth,” Ashworth said in a research note. “Nevertheless, we’re still more worried about the first quarter of next year, particularly if the temporary payroll tax reduction is allowed to expire at the end of this year.”

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Daniel Wagner can be reached at http://www.twitter.com/wagnerreports.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/economy/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20111017/ap_on_bi_ge/us_industrial_production

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